Monday forecast: Warm weather before temperatures dip

Attempting to predict the future is a curiously stupid thing to do. I have a meteorology degree, but you don’t learn how to predict weather out of a textbook or from attending class. You make a forecast, make mistakes, then learn from your mistakes. A metaphor for life. Over time, you discover which weather models to trust, and when. Pattern recognition is essential. “El Niño AND a negative phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation often implies X, Y and Z.” It’s frustratingly imperfect because the atmosphere is infinitely more complex than we can even model. That said, based on a record El Niño underway, I see a late winter, more rain and ice. A shorter snow season. A longer construction season (ugh). A better chance of snowy smacks in the latter half of winter, which will probably seem shorter. Advertisement We might hit 60 degrees Fahrenheit today before a showery clipper arrives midweek. By late week, we might struggle to hit 40F. Lower confidence: another significant rainstorm by the end of next week. At this rate, I’m predicting a greenish Thanksgiving this year. See the current forecast here .